Bitcoin $74K-$77K Price Gap: Will It Fill in the near future?

Bitcoin CME gap fill

Will the Bitcoin $74000-$77000  price gap fill in March 2025? Explore technical analysis and trends.

As of March 8, 2025, Bitcoin (BTC) trades at $87,945, yet the Bitcoin $74000-$77000 price gap on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) futures chart remains a focal point for traders. This gap formed during a rapid rally from November 9 to November 10, 2024, when CME futures surged from $77,930 to $80,670, leaving an untraded zone roughly spanning $77,000 to $80,700. The Bitcoin $74000-$77000 price gap, potentially a key support within this broader range, has only been partially filled, with a dip to $78,452 on February 28, 2025. This analysis explores the likelihood of the Bitcoin $74000-$77000 price gap closing in the near term (within three months), combining CME Bitcoin futures gap analysis with market drivers.

Understanding the Bitcoin $74K-$77K Price Gap

CME Bitcoin futures, unlike the 24/7 spot market, halt trading over weekends, often resulting in price gaps during volatile periods. The November 2024 jump created the Bitcoin $74000-$77000 price gap, part of a larger $77,000-$80,700 untraded zone. Although the February 28 drop to $78,452 addressed the upper end, the lower segment of the Bitcoin $74000-$77000 price gap remains open. With Bitcoin at $87,945, the market faces a critical juncture—will it retreat to fill this Bitcoin $74000-$77000 price gap, or push higher?

Technical Signals for a Bitcoin $74K-$77K Price Gap Fill

Bitcoin has a strong history of filling CME gaps. The $5,800-$6,200 gap from 2020 closed within months, and the $18,000-$20,000 gap from 2023 saw partial filling during a rebound, with about 90% of gaps historically resolved. The Bitcoin $74000-$77000 price gap serves as a potential support zone. A break below $84,000-$85,000, recent lows, could drive prices into this range quickly. The RSI, currently at 60, signals weakening momentum, while the 50-day moving average nears $78,855. If this level falters, a Bitcoin CME gap fill becomes likely. X platform trends suggest a correction post-March 7, aligning with cryptocurrency price analysis 2025.

Fundamental Factors Impacting the Bitcoin $74K-$77K Price Gap

Technical trends favor a fill, but fundamentals could delay it. The White House Cryptocurrency Summit on March 7, 2025, might unveil a Bitcoin strategic reserve, potentially propelling prices to $100,000 and bypassing the Bitcoin $74000-$77000 price gap. The mid-March Federal Reserve decision could also shift sentiment—a weaker dollar or ETF inflows might hold Bitcoin above $80,000. Gaps don’t fill on a fixed schedule; the 2017 $13,000-$14,000 gap took years. If Bitcoin market trends March 2025 stay bullish, the Bitcoin $74000-$77000 price gap fill could wait.
Bitcoin $74K-$77K Price Gap

Liquidity and Support Levels

CoinGlass data shows thin liquidity near $80,000, with a stronger support zone at $74,500-$78,000. Increased sell pressure could push prices toward the Bitcoin $74000-$77000 price gap, but institutional buying might stabilize support, preventing a drop. Early 2025 swings between $90,000 and $100,000 hint at fading momentum, raising the Bitcoin 74000-77000 gap fill probability if no catalysts emerge.

Short-Term Probability Assessment

In the next one to four weeks, the Bitcoin $74000-$77000 price gap has a 50%-60% chance of filling. A drop below $84,000, paired with neutral or bearish summit results, could boost this to 70%. Conversely, a summit-driven rally or halving effects might lift prices past $100,000, delaying the fill. The $84,000-$85,000 range is the short-term pivot.

Conclusion

The Bitcoin $74000-$77000 price gap offers technical potential as a support zone, likely to fill if March brings a correction. However, fundamentals like policy shifts or institutional flows could push prices higher, deferring the Bitcoin CME gap fill. Traders should monitor $84,000 and the March 7 summit, leveraging cryptocurrency price analysis 2025 and Bitcoin market trends March 2025. Stay ahead—subscribe for more insights on the Bitcoin $74000-$77000 price gap and beyond!

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